Wednesday, March 25, 2009

2009 MLB Predictions

It's time once again for predictions, so here goes.

NL East: Mets, Phillies, Marlins, Braves, Nationals

NL Central: Cubs, Brewers, Cardinals, Reds, Astros, Pirates

Reds had a good Spring, and the Astros a bad Spring, so they are flip-flopped over where I would have picked them.

NL West: Dodgers, Rockies, Padres, D-Backs, Giants

D-Backs had a bad Spring, so lowered from second, where I wanted to pick them.

AL East: Red Sox, Yankees, Rays, Blue Jays, Orioles

My head says pick the Yankees first, but my heart won't let me.

AL Central: Indians, Twins, Tigers, White Sox, Royals

Mark DeRosa and Kerry Wood seem to be good additions to the Indians. Twins always seem to surprise, so they go second. Tigers will improve on their dreadful year last year, leaving the White Sox to settle for fourth.

AL West: Angels, Rangers, A's, Mariners

Rangers' days as the division door mat seem to be over. Angels remain one of my favorite teams, and Scioscia one of my favorite managers.

3/28/16 update.  The Phillies won the NL East while the Mets finished 4th. The Cardinals won the Central with the Cubs 2nd by 7 and a half games. The Dodgers won the West with an NL-best 95 wins, with the Rockies 2nd as predicted.

I had the AL East perfect except the Yanks and Sox were flip-flopped. The Twins won the Central, with the Indians a disappointing 4th. I had the West right except the Mariners and A's were flipflopped for 3rd and 4th.

The statistical analysis shows I was exactly right on 12 teams, 1 off on 14, 2 off on 2, and 3 off on 2 (Indians and Mets).


Altius Directory said...

Get online updates on 2009 MLB here
MLB 2009 Updates

chessart said...

Analysis on this date shows:
NL East--4 off(Mets and Marlins are flip-flopped)
NL Central -- 6 off
NL West -- 8 off

AL East -- 6 off (Blue Jays big surprise)
AL Central -- 10 off (Indians and Royals as flip-flopped as can be)
AL West -- 6 (Mariners have surprised)

chessart said...

Off on this date, starting with NL East and going west:

2+4+6=12 for NL

6+8+4=18 for AL

Total off of only 30 now, unlike 10 days ago when it was 40! Mets have won 8 of 10, Marlins only 3 of 10, Brewers 8 of 10, and Pirates only 2 of 10, while in the AL Mariners have lost 9 of 10 to fall back.

chessart said...

6+10+4=20 for AL

4+6+6=16 for NL

chessart said...

4+8+6=18 for NL

2+8+4=14 for AL

chessart said...

At the All-Star break.

6+6+6=18 for NL

0+10+2=12 for AL

chessart said...

Final results:

NL: 6+4+4 = 14 for NL

AL: 2+6+2 = 10 for AL