MLB Predictions for 2026

My predictions for last year fared well, with only 20 positions off. This was my second-best ever, behind only 2022 with 18.

I was perfect for the AL Central, when the Guardians overtook the Tigers for first with a strong finish. I would have been perfect also for the NL West, but for the Giants overtaking the D-Backs for third on the last day. Thw worst divisions were the AL West and NL Central, with 6 off for each.

My last-place picks were disappointing. I picked all 3 of the sick franchises (Rays, Marlins, & A's) for last, but they all did better. I also made an idiosyncratic pick of the Cardinals for last, based on no off-season improvement, but they finished ahead of the woeful Pirates. The Marlins surely were the most surprising team in 2025, finishing third in the NL East, 13 games ahead of the last-place Nationals, and only 4 games behind the 2nd-place Mets.

And now for 2026.

AL East: Blue Jays, Yankees, Red Sox, Rays, Orioles

The Blue Jays seem committed to excellence, so I pick them to repeat. I refuse to pick the Rays for last again, as historically they have usually done better than expected. The Orioles have improved but still may finish last in the strong AL East. They may well become only the fourth team to ever finish last with a .500 or better win rate, after the 1987 Brewers, 2005 Nationals, and 2023 Yankees.

AL Central: Tigers, Guardians, Royals, Twins, White Sox

The Tigers were only one game out of first last year, so I have to pick them over my Guardians. The Tigers' strong starting pitching staff gives them good chances this year for post-season success. The White Sox were ten games out of fourth, so they seem to be destined for the basement again this year.

Al West: Mariners, Astros, Rangers, A's, Angels

The Mariners surprised last year by winning the division over the cheating Astros, and there is no reason they can't do it again this year. I feel sorry for Mike Trout, whose Angels have made the playoffs only once during his career, and they were swept 3-0 the one time they did. He deserves better.

NL East: Phillies, Mets, Braves, Marlins, Nationals

The Phillies won the division last year by 13 games, and seem poised to do it again, with an owner committed to winning. The Nationals finished last by 10 games, and should repeat.

NL Central: Cubs, Brewers, Reds. Cardinals, Pirates

My biggest mistake last year was picking the Brewers third. I can't pick against the Cubs, one of my favorite teams, so I'm going with the Brewers for second this year. The Pirates seem destined for last place again, and with an attendance of the fifth-lowest in MLB they are certainly a sick franchise.

NL West: Dodgers, Padres, Giants, Diamondbacks, Rockies

I so want to pick the Psdres over the Dodgers for first, but I can't bring myself to do it. I hope I'm wrong. The Dodgers made a huge blunder in signig Kyle Tucker for $240M for four years. Tucker has led his league only one time in any category, when had 112 RBI in 2023. A Cubs staffer commented that in the clubhouse Tucker "checks his phone more than he checks the scouting report. He has all the talent in the world, but the motor? It's not there." The Rockies had the worst record in all of MLB last year with only 43 wins, but still drew 2.4 miilion fans, good for 16th in MLB. Kudos to their loyal fans! The Giants are enthused about their new manager, the only manager to ever jump from the college ranks directly into an MLB manager's position. The players like his hands-on approach in contrast to the typical big-league manager approach.

"The Widow", by John Grisham

John Grisham has written many best-selling legal thrillers since his first book was published in 1989, but this is his first attempt at a a mystery. His protagonist is a small-town lawyer who finally gets a client who (he thinks) is rich, and the guy gets accused of murdering her to get his hands on her money. When he gets convicted on circumstantial evidence, his mission becomes one of discovering who the real killer is.

Murder mysteries work best when the reader is presented with a cast of characters, and then has to guess which one is the killer. That is not the case here, unfortunately. The real killer is not introduced until near the end, in a way that strikes the reader as too abrupt, and we feel blind-sided as a result. Grisham clearly is out of his element here.

Grisham does a good job of presenting the trials and tribulations of a small-town lawyer. This is based on his personal experience, as he discussed in an October interview with C-SPAN's David Rubenstein. Grisham described getting word from his agent that his first book had been optioned for a movie, for more money than he had made in his ten years of practicing law. When Rubenstein asked him how long after that he abandoned his law pratice, Gisham replied, "Oh, about fifteen minutes. I left the office, and didn't even bother turning out the lights. To Rubenstein's question of "What about your clients?", Grisham replied, "Most of them were not paying me anyway, and the others could easily find anothr lawyer."

Grisham deserves credit for dispelling the common notion that a law degree is a ticket to easy steet. But then he turns around and exacerbates the problem by using some ridiculous amounts for lawyer hourly rates. The idea that a general practice lawyer in a small town could charge and collect $250 an hour is ludicrous. And then the lawyer drafts a will providing for a trust in which he will be getting $500 an hour as executor of the will and as trustee of the trust. And then at his trial, amounts of $1,000 and $1,500 an hour are quoted for high-end tax lawyers. Sheer lunacy. The proscutor got it right when, in closing arugment, she turned to the defendant and said "Nobody is worth $500 an hour". I would add that anybody who pays this kind of money to a lawyer is a fool.

Grisham mires us in unnecessary detail. For example, he describes in detail every one of the dozen lunches which the lawyer treats his client to. The result is a book of 404 pages which should have been much shorter.

I liked that Grisham told the story in chronological order. I mention this because the book I read immediately before this one, "The Viper", by Brad Meltzer, was a hopeless mess, jumping around between different time periods and locations so fast my head was swimming.

Findlay Bridge for 2/13/26

Four and a half tables showed up for bridge on Friday the 13th. Ron and I had a good result, finishing only half a point from 50%. The play featured many part scores, few games, and no slams, at least at my tables. Here is the board-by-board analysis.

Board 1. Our opponents bid and made 3 of a major. Same result on two other boards, while the 4th N-S pair went down at 4.

Board 2. We were set by one, tieing for bottom board.

Board 3. We bid and made a major suit game. One pair made 5, while the other two had minor suit part scores.

We scored 3.5 vs. Bob and Karen.

Board 4. We set them by two. The one pair that beat us doubled.

Board 5. We bid 6NT and went down 3. The other pairs bid and made games.

Board 6. We set them by two for top board.

We scored 5 points vs. Ruth & Ken.

Board 7. We all bid and made minor suit part scores, but the others took more tricks.

Board 8. One opponent pair bid and made 3NT, while the others all went down. We set them by one, but the others did so by two and three.

Board 9. We got top board, as the other opponent pairs all bid and made a major suit game, while ours stopped at a part score.

We scored 4 points vs. Bill and Johanne, the eventual winners.

Board 13. We went down two for bottom board.

Board 14. All of our fellow E-W pairs defended against part score contracts. We got one point.

Board 15. We tied with two others for top board at 110 points. One pair scored only 80.

We scored 3 points vs. Dave and Gary.

Board 16. We went down for bottom board.

Board 17. We bid and made 2 of a major, tieing for 2nd. One pair made 3, while one bid 4 and went down one.

Board 18. We set them by one, for 3rd board.

We scored 2.5 points vs. James and James.

Board 19. We made 4 of a major, but 2 other pairs bid 3NT and made 4, to beat us by 10 points!

Board 20. We set their game bid by one, to tie for top board. Two other pairs made the game.

Board 21. Our 110 points tied with two others for top board.

We scored 5.5 points vs. Bill and Ralph.

Board 22. We made 3NT, but one pair beat us by 20 when they made 4 of amajor.

Board 23. Our 3NT bid and made tied for top board.

Board 24. Our 100 points was second-highest.

We scored an impressive 6.5 points vs. Mike and Arlene, the eventual second-place finishers.

Board 25. Our 110 was good for a point and a half.

Board 26. I luckily made a major suit game, when Teresa led a card toward the end that gave me a sluff and a ruff. Top board.

Board 27. They bid a minor suit game and made 7. One pair bid the slam, but the other two only made 6.

We scored 4.5 points vs. Clarence & Teresa.

"Tip and the Gipper: When Politics Worked", by Chris Matthews

This book provides an in-depth account of the period of 1981-1987, when Tip O'Neill was the Houde Speaker during the first six years of the Reagan administration. Mathews, who has since become one of the most insightful poitical commentators we have, presents an informative first-hand account as he was O'Neill's Chief of Staff during this six-year peiod.

The narrative starts with Ronald Reagan's landslide win over the hapless Jimmy Carter in the 1980 election. Reagan campaigned as a Washington outsider, just as Carter had four years earlier. But the difference between the two was that, unlike Carter, Reagan recognized that he would have to get along with the Washington powers that be in order to function effectively as president.

Consequently, he and Nancy moved to Washington after the election, and accepted dinner party invitations. After he took office, his first White House guests were Tip O'Neill and his wife. He coninued building his close relatonship with O'Neill throughout his presidency. The result is that he was far closer to O'Neill than Carter ever was, even though Reagan and O'Neill were far apart politically. As they used to tell each other, "politics stops at 6:00".

The rift between Carter and O'Neill is illustarted by snubs Carter was guilty of on his way in and on his way out. On the way in, he denied O'Neill and his wife seats at the inaugural ball, an inexplicable snub. And on his way out, he turned a deaf ear to o'Neill when O'Neill begged him not to concede to Reagan before the polls in California closed. Carter ignored him, and at least two incumbent Democratic congressmen lost their seats as a result.

The first crisis of the new Reagan administraton was the March 30, 1981 assassination attempt on Reagan's life. When O'Neill visited Reagan in the hospital, he got down on his knees and prayed for the president.

The scond crisis began on August 3rd, when the air traffic controllers union (PATCO) went on strike. Reagan acted decisively, issuing a statement that anyone not returning to work in 48 hours would be fired. Matthews says that "by breaking PATCO, he showed in a single executive judgment call how different he was from his recent predecessors." Dwayne Andreas, a prominent American businessman with close ties to Moscow, came back from a visit to the Soviet Union and told Tip that the Soviet top brass "credited Reagan, io contrast to his predecessors, with the strength of will to qualify him as a true leader."

Reagan's decisiveness stands in sharp contrast to that of our most recent president, the feckless Joe Biden. Two wars arose during Biden's presidency, and Biden's rsponse to each was characterized by a lack of the requisite decisiveness. With regard to Israel's war against Hamas in Gaza, Biden continued to provide military support to the Israelis, when he should have been firm with them and denied them any aid so long as they continued the genocide against innocent Gaza residents. How he could stand by and watch little kids starving to death because of lack of nutrition is unforgiveable. And with regard to Russia's war against Ukraine, Biden refused to provide the military support to Ukraine that would have allowed them to attack inside Russia.

The key issue for Reagan in his first year was the passage of of his 25% tax cut, which passed the House 238-195. O'Neill opposed this but decieded not to fight it when he realized that many in his caucus were going to support the bill. He figured that it was best to let Reagan have his cut, and then bear the responsibility for the consequences. Despite the adverse consequences (the deficit ballooned), Republicans since 1981 have pursued this bad policy ever since, pushing through similar tax cuts under George W. Bush and under Donald Trump. The theory of "trickle down" economics has proven to be bogus time and time again, but the American people are too ignorant to understand this. During the 1980 primary campaign, George H. W. Bush had aptly called Reagan's trickle down theory "voodoo economics".

On a more positive note, O'Neill and Reagan worked together to pass two major bills--comprehensive immigration reform and comprehensive social security reform. Reagan's approach to the latter was sheer genius. He formed a 15-member bi-partisan commission to address the fiscal crisis social security was facing. The result was a bi-partisan bill passed in 1983. Similarly, in 1986 comprehensive immigration reform was passed, giving undocumented people a path to legalized status if they'd been here since before 1982. Both of these accomplishments were possible because of the mature cooperation of Reagan and the House Speaker, cooperation we have rarely seen since in Washington. These two reforms remain to this day the last time either of these key issues has been addressed in any sort of comprehensive way. Indeed, cooperation betwen the two parties seems out of the question in the highly partisan environment we live in today.

One of the most important services Matthews provided to O'Neill was to get him to be more available to the TV cameras. Tip would hold 15-minute press conferences every day before the House opened for the day's business, but cameras were prohibited. O'Neill thought he didn't come across well on camera, unlike the photogenic Reagan. And O'Neill never went on the Sunday shows, as is so popular today, preferring instead to spend his weekends at home in Massachusetts with his wife. Matthews and the other staff members convinced O'Neill to open up to the cameras, and the results were quite positive. O'Neill had always seen himself as a "wholesale" politican, meaning he was an expert at one-on-one interactions. Reagan, by contrast, was a great "retail" poitician, reaching out to millions at a time by playing expertly to the cameras. Credit goes to O'Neill for being wise enough to change with the times.

Democrats have perhaps not internalized this lesson fully, as Joe Biden had fewer press conferences during his term than any of the prior six presidents. And when he declined the opportunity for twenty minutes of free air time on the Super Bowl pregame show when he was running for re-election, his campaign was doomed. Had Biden interacted more with the press, he might have been better prepared for the infamous debate that ruined his campaign.

Kamala Harris made the same blunder when she declined a chance to go on Joe Rogan's top-rated podcast. This would have given her a chance for people to get to know her as a person. When she declined, her campaign was toast.

"The Beast in Us"

In this psychological drama from Netflix, Claire Danes brings the same sort of manic intensity to her role as the writer Maggie Wiggs as she displayed playing the bipolar CIA agent Carrie Mathison in "Homeland". Also memorable is Jonathan Banks, who played the same sort of ruthless, tough-minded character as he played in "Breaking Bad" and "Better Call Saul". I single these two out because they are both favorites of mine, but really the whole cast is simply awesome.

When Aggie reads from her new book in the last scene, the audience at the book-signing is mesmerized, as we are listening to her summarize the themes of this powerful story--guilt and inocence, grief and loss, good and evil, retribution, justice, vengeance, rage, and karma.

i binge-watched the eight episodes of this limited series in one day. Probably better would have been to stretch it out more, so as to better digest this intricate psychological story as it unfolds.

"107 Days", by Kamala Harris

This book was a huge disappointment to me. Harris has a short chapter on each of the 107 days of her 2024 campaign, resulting in an account that is filled with lots of mundane details on the day-to-day activities of the campaign, and with not enough philosophical reflection on the meaning of that campaign.

The part that was of most interest to me is her account of her infamous bungling of the question on "The View" of what she would have done differently than Joe Biden. She says she was ready for the question, but forgot how she had planned to answer it. Her planned answer was this: "I'm not Joe Biden and I'm certainly not Donald Trump...But to specifically answer your question, throughout my caereer I have worked with Democrats, independents, and Republicans, and I know that great ideas come from all places. If I'm president I would appoint a Republican to my cabinet."

Instead her response was, "There is not a thing that comes to mind". This was the kiss of death for her campaign. Harris explains her woeful response: "The way I heard Sunny's question was that it was asking me to be critical of Joe. I've never believed you need to elevate yourself by pushing someone else down. To do so would have been to embrace the cruelty of my opponent. In the moment, I didn't see a way to answer the question without doing that."

Do you see the problem with this explanation? If not, go back and read it again. Do you see it now? What Harris is saying is that it is "cruel" to disagree with someone. This kind of thinking is at the heart of what is so wrong these days with our political culture. We are unable to disagree with each other without being disagreeable, without demonizing the other person. There would have been nothing wrong with Harris pointing out some areas in which she would have doen things differently. But she was unwilling to articulate any of them.

After this debacle, her campaign strategist David Plouffe did an intervention with her, telling her bluntly that "People hate Joe Biden".

Harris worked very hard every day of the campaign, and did not deserve to lose the election because of one weak moment. But politics is an unforgiving endeeavor.

The real villlain in this story is not Kamala Harris, but Joe Biden, who refused to get out of the race early enough to give Harris time to build up her stature with the voters. Biden's legacy has been forever tarnished as a result.

Findlay Bridge, 12/12/25

After three weeks off, Ron and I returned to Findlay on the 12th for another aftenoon of duplicate. It seemed like a bad day for us, but the results show we scored 46.5% of the possible points. Here is the hand-by-hand analysis.

Board 1. We went down one at 1NT. Despite the negative result, we scored two points out of the possible three.

Board 2. Our opponents bid 3D, making 4. We tied with two others for top board, as one opponent pair, John & Jo, bid and made 3NT.

Board 3. They bid 2C, making 5.

Our two points gave us six for the round vs. Ann & Nancy.

Board 4. They bid 2S, making 4. Our -170 tied for top board, as two of the other N-S pairs got the bid and went down for -200.

Board 5. We set 3NT by two. I led from my 6-card heart suit, with Ron taking his Ace. He led back a heart, knocking out Ed's only stopper. This left me with four good hearts, but only the Queen of diamonds available to get back in, which I did on the 9th trick. I then took the last four tricks with my good hearts. This hand was noteworthy in that both sides bid and made a game! Kudos to Arlene & Mike for bidding and making a game as N-S, and to James & Clarence for doing so as E-W.

Board 6. This was a memorable hand. Ron opened 1D and I had six diamonds headed by the Ace, plus a powerful hand. Slam was definitely worth exploring, and I couldn't think of anything to do but go right to 4NT. When Ron bid 2H telling me we had all the Aces, I wanted to bid 5NT asking for Kings, but then I realized to my chagrin that his response probably would take us past 6D, preventing us from stopping at the small slam. So, I went right to 6D. When we took all the tricks, I feared that we had bottom board. However, the results show that nobody bid the grand slam, so we tied with two others for top board. The 4th pair made 7NT but did not bid a slam! It seems there should have been some way to get to the garnd slam, but nobody has come up with how it could have been accomplished.

We had a good round vs. Ed & Linda, scoring 6.5 pts.

Board 10. We played 2H and made 5, tying for bottom board. Only one pair, Jo & John, bid the game.

Board 11. They played 2NT and made 3. This gave us top board, as everyone else but Dennis & Brent bid and made the game.

Board 12. We set 5C by one. One N-S pair stopped at 4 for top board. Two N-S pairs competed and scored a part score in a major suit.

We scored 4.5 points for the round vs. Dennis & Brent.

Board 13. They played 3Nt and made 6 against our poor defense. (Or, it coud have been Jim & Kathleen's brilliant play, who knows?) Ed & Linda, who were having a horrible day, failed to bid the game and so were bottom board among the N-S players, while we were bottom board of the E-W pairs.

Board 14. We went down at our overly-ambitious 3NT contract for bottom board. The other boards stopped short of game.

Board 15. They played 3NT and made 4. Same with two other boards.

We totalled one point for the round vs. Jim & Kathleen.

Board 16. We played 2H and made 3. Same with one other board, while two pairs bid and made the game.

Board 17. We went down one at 3C. One pair bid and made a major suit game, while another went down 2, so we were right in the middle.

Board 18. THey set our 3H by one, giving us bottom top board.

We socred a paltry 2 points. vs. Bob & Karen.

Boatrd 19. They bid and made 5H. One pair made 6, and one only 4, so were right right in the middle.

Board 20. We played and made 2S, the only E-W pair to get the contract. Two points for us.

Board 21. They played 4H, making 5.

We scored 3.5 for the round vs. Jo & John, the top team.

Board 22. Arlene & Mike got overly ambitious with a 3NT bid. I doubled and we set them by 3, for 800 pts. Even without the double we would have had top board.

Board 23. They bid and made 3NT, but we got top board as the others made either 4 or 5!

Board 24. We bid and made 2NT, for one point.

Total vs. Mike & Arlene was 7 pts.

Board 25. They played and made 4S, while the contract was set at two other tables.

Board 26. They played and made 2H. Two pairs went down, while one made 2.

Board 27. They played 2NT, making 3. We were right in the middle.

We scored 3 pts. vs. James & Clarence.