One commentator expressed the opinion that most jurors make up their minds based on the opening statements of counsel. I would put the figure at closer to one-third, rather than most, but still a significant number. And another third makes up their minds based on whether they like or dislike the participants in the trial. The camera has not shown Chauvin, so I don't have an opinion about which direction this points to. If I could observe his demeanor, I think I could predict the outcome with a high degree of accuracy.
I will say that the video presented gives a very negative impression of Chauvin. He comes across as a cold, callous sociopath, who nonchalantly left his knee on the neck of Floyd for nine and a half minutes, even after Floyd had stopped resisting. It will be the job of the defendant's attorneys to humanize him, and present a reasonable explanation for his actions. If they can do so, the verdict will likely be not guilty. If not, we will likely see a hung jury.
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